Saturday 9 May 2020

So far, the evidence for the effectiveness of the government’s measures is scanty. It is quite hard to explain why energetically throttling the economy and putting the nation under house arrest will save lives. And the fact that the deaths from Covid-19 peaked on April 8th, almost certainly too early to have been affected by the beginning of the Panic on the night of March 23rd, does not help this Cabinet of None of The Talents. The only thing on its side is the good old ‘Post Hoc, Ergo Propter Hoc’ claim which even Mr Johnson (with his smattering of Latin) knows is a fallacy (It means ''Because B came after A, B was caused by A'. Everyone knows this is often not the case) . At the moment the premier is like some Druid who has sacrificed the village cow on the pretext of preventing a flood - and is now saying that the sacrifice was effectual, because there has been no flood. Are we really so credulous that we require no other evidence?

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